Government Shutdown Odds

US government shutdown prediction market odds. Will Congress reach a deal? Live odds on Kalshi and Polymarket.

12 active markets
Updated 3/1/2026, 11:26:58 AM
Query: 3545ms
Polymarket·us policy

Shutdown ends (neg)

53%
After March 31
24h:$139Kvol:$678Kwill-the-dhs-shutdown-end-after-march-31-2026
Polymarket·us policy

Shutdown ends

>99%
14+ days
24h:$711Kvol:$2.9Mwill-the-dhs-shutdown-last-14-days-or-more
Polymarket·us policy
24h:$6Kvol:$7Kwill-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630pm-on-february-28